Notable Events
35
35th game played in Arlington
14
14th time the score was 4-2 in the FIFA World Cup
5
5th 2-4 involving Croatia
16
16th 4-2 involving England
2
2nd 4-2 involving England in the FIFA World Cup
35th game played in Arlington
35th
14th time the score was 4-2 in the FIFA World Cup
14th
5th 2-4 involving Croatia
5th
16th 4-2 involving England
16th
2nd 4-2 involving England in the FIFA World Cup
2nd
AI Synopsis
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Match Importance
72
/ 100
Marquee
Minimal
Low
Medium
Marquee
Elite
A marquee match. High stakes, well-matched rivals, and the kind of stage that elevates a fixture into the top tier.
Rating Impact
Pre-Match Win Probability
58%
42%
England
Croatia
Model Verdict
What the WFS predictor said before kickoff
England49.3% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: EnglandVerdict
1.70 - 1.19Actual: 4 - 2Expected score
0.510 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
England
Draw
Croatia
49%
24%
27%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
57
Tournament
Phase
Group StagesStage
Group 12 / LData Confidence
Previous Meetings
Match-Up AnalysisHead-to-head matches between England and Croatia prior to this game.
H
13 Jun 21
AWAY
1
-
0
UEFA European ChampionshipH
13 Jun 21
AWAY
1
-
0
UEFA European ChampionshipH
18 Nov 18
AWAY
2
-
1
UEFA Nations LeagueH
18 Nov 18
AWAY
2
-
1
UEFA Nations League