Notable Events
251st game played in Mexico City 251st
194th game for Mexico in Mexico City 194th
1st game for South Africa in Mexico City 1st
4th meeting between Mexico and South Africa 4th
78th time the score was 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup 78th
92nd 2-0 involving Mexico 92nd
30th 0-2 involving South Africa 30th
2nd 2-0 involving Mexico in the FIFA World Cup 2nd

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
53 / 100 Medium
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A meaningful match - competitive opponents, a stage worth the trip, but not on the elite shelf.

Rating Impact

Mexico ▲ +8.0
Before
1576
After
1584
Win expected: 74%
South Africa ▼ -8.0
Before
1468
After
1460
Win expected: 26%
Pre-Match Win Probability
74%
26%
Mexico South Africa

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Mexico90.9% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: MexicoVerdict
2.75 - 0.15Actual: 2 - 0Expected score
0.090 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Mexico Draw South Africa
91% 8% 1%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
13
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Group Stages
Stage
Group 1 / A
Venue
Mexico

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Mexico and South Africa prior to this game.

D 11 Jun 10 AWAY
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup
H 08 Jul 05 AWAY
2 - 1
CONCACAF Gold Cup