Game
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
ETH
1361Rating
1 - 1
HT 1 - 1
Malawi
Malawi
MWI
1346Rating
Notable Events
10th game played in Dire Dawa 10th
4th game for Ethiopia in Dire Dawa 4th
2nd game for Malawi in Dire Dawa 2nd
16th meeting between Ethiopia and Malawi 16th
47th 1-1 involving Ethiopia 47th
90th 1-1 involving Malawi 90th

AI Synopsis

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Rating Impact

Ethiopia ▼ -0.6
Before
1361
After
1361
Win expected: 56%
Malawi ▲ +0.6
Before
1346
After
1347
Win expected: 44%
Pre-Match Win Probability
56%
44%
Ethiopia Malawi

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Ethiopia45.2% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: DrawVerdict
1.58 - 1.24Actual: 1 - 1Expected score
0.050 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Ethiopia Draw Malawi
45% 25% 30%
Over 2.5 goals
53
Both teams to score
56
Tournament
Competition
Friendly
Edition
2026
Venue
Ethiopia

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Ethiopia and Malawi prior to this game.

H 06 Jun 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
D 20 Jun 23 AWAY
0 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations