Game
Estonia
Estonia
EST
1322Rating
1 - 0
HT 0 - 0
Lithuania
Lithuania
LTU
1296Rating
Notable Events
216th game played in Tallinn 216th
211th game for Estonia in Tallinn 211th
22nd game for Lithuania in Tallinn 22nd
60th meeting between Estonia and Lithuania 60th
13th time the score was 1-0 in the Baltic Cup 13th
36th 1-0 involving Estonia 36th
49th 0-1 involving Lithuania 49th
3rd 1-0 involving Estonia in the Baltic Cup 3rd

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
37 / 100 Low
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A modest contest. Some context on the line, but well short of a marquee match.

Rating Impact

Estonia ▲ +10.5
Before
1322
After
1332
Win expected: 58%
Lithuania ▼ -10.5
Before
1296
After
1285
Win expected: 42%
Pre-Match Win Probability
58%
42%
Estonia Lithuania

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Estonia50.4% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: EstoniaVerdict
2.09 - 1.54Actual: 1 - 0Expected score
0.500 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Estonia Draw Lithuania
50% 21% 29%
Over 2.5 goals
70
Both teams to score
69
Tournament
Competition
Baltic Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Final
Venue
Estonia

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Estonia and Lithuania prior to this game.

D 11 Jun 24 AWAY
1 - 1
Baltic Cup
H 19 Nov 22 AWAY
2 - 0
Baltic Cup