Game
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
ETH
1353Rating
1 - 0
HT 1 - 0
Malawi
Malawi
MWI
1354Rating
Notable Events
9th game played in Dire Dawa 9th
3rd game for Ethiopia in Dire Dawa 3rd
1st game for Malawi in Dire Dawa 1st
15th meeting between Ethiopia and Malawi 15th
38th 1-0 involving Ethiopia 38th
86th 0-1 involving Malawi 86th

AI Synopsis

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Rating Impact

Ethiopia ▲ +7.9
Before
1353
After
1361
Win expected: 53%
Malawi ▼ -7.9
Before
1354
After
1346
Win expected: 47%
Pre-Match Win Probability
53%
47%
Ethiopia Malawi

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Ethiopia41.2% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: EthiopiaVerdict
1.49 - 1.33Actual: 1 - 0Expected score
0.590 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Ethiopia Draw Malawi
41% 25% 34%
Over 2.5 goals
53
Both teams to score
57
Tournament
Competition
Friendly
Edition
2026
Venue
Ethiopia

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Ethiopia and Malawi prior to this game.

D 20 Jun 23 AWAY
0 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations
H 05 Jun 22 AWAY
2 - 1
Africa Cup of Nations