Game
Lithuania
Lithuania
LTU
1296Rating
1 - 1
HT 1 - 0 PSO 5 - 4
Latvia
Latvia
LVA
1322Rating
Notable Events
85th game played in Kaunas 85th
20th game for Latvia in Kaunas 20th
80th game for Lithuania in Kaunas 80th
61st meeting between Latvia and Lithuania 61st
16th time the score was 1-1 in the Baltic Cup 16th
53rd 1-1 involving Latvia 53rd
41st 1-1 involving Lithuania 41st
7th 1-1 involving Lithuania in the Baltic Cup 7th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
39 / 100 Low
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A modest contest. Some context on the line, but well short of a marquee match.

Rating Impact

Lithuania ▼ -0.1
Before
1296
After
1296
Win expected: 51%
Latvia ▲ +0.1
Before
1322
After
1322
Win expected: 49%
Pre-Match Win Probability
51%
49%
Lithuania Latvia

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Lithuania39.4% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: DrawVerdict
1.83 - 1.81Actual: 1 - 1Expected score
0.110 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Lithuania Draw Latvia
39% 22% 39%
Over 2.5 goals
70
Both teams to score
70
Tournament
Competition
Baltic Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Semi Final
Venue
Lithuania

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Lithuania and Latvia prior to this game.

A 08 Jun 24 AWAY
0 - 2
Baltic Cup
H 04 Jun 21 AWAY
3 - 1
Baltic Cup