Notable Events
8th game played in Dire Dawa 8th
2nd game for Ethiopia in Dire Dawa 2nd
1st game for São Tomé and Principe in Dire Dawa 1st
4th meeting between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Principe 4th
37th 1-0 involving Ethiopia 37th
10th 0-1 involving São Tomé and Principe 10th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
31 / 100 Low
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A modest contest. Some context on the line, but well short of a marquee match.

Rating Impact

Ethiopia ▲ +5.7
Before
1346
After
1352
Win expected: 69%
Before
1269
After
1264
Win expected: 31%
Pre-Match Win Probability
69%
31%
Ethiopia São Tomé and Principe

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Ethiopia80.1% probabilityModel pick
CorrectActual: EthiopiaVerdict
2.36 - 0.46Actual: 1 - 0Expected score
0.200 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Ethiopia Draw São Tomé and Principe
80% 14% 6%
Over 2.5 goals
54
Both teams to score
33
Tournament
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations
Edition
2027
Phase
Preliminaries
Stage
2nd Leg
Venue
Ethiopia

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Principe prior to this game.

A 27 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 3
Africa Cup of Nations
H 11 Oct 15 AWAY
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup